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Typically reliable and sizable Republican wins in the rural North and South of the state evaporated into razor thin margins. Between that and an increased margin in the Black Belt, Jones was able to eke out a 21,000-vote victory, while Republicans normally win by more than half a million votes … “These swings can be seen in counties majority white and black, Republican and Democrat. And that means it couldn’t have just been a surge in African American turnout, or just rural Trump voters staying home, or just Republicans crossing over to vote for Jones. Jones’ campaign was able to achieve a combination of the three that drove him to victory. Despite it being an off-year special election in December, Jones got 92 percent of Hillary Clinton’s vote total. Moore just got 49 percent of Trump’s.” (Our graphics team produced some impressive visuals to show the results.) Exit polls demonstrated the class divide that I explored in Monday’s 202: Jones won college graduates by 11 points (54-43), while Moore won non-college graduates by five points (52-47). Moore led by almost 50 points among white women without degrees, but he was neck-and-neck with Jones with white women who went to college.

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